![FOF组合基金(第2版):大数据金融丛书](https://wfqqreader-1252317822.image.myqcloud.com/cover/460/25462460/b_25462460.jpg)
其他
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0002.jpg?sign=1738946575-qK9DYXyDQqcdw8Jd9p8uNo46LMxpKPOk-0-cf15cf72608f9c9bf1d8c34291221ec9)
图1.12 中国台湾地区FOF统计数据
数据来源:Bloomberg,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0003.jpg?sign=1738946575-u4OfYcn5OfMn6VahjhOOGHTrFsMQj5zE-0-b099f9c6c87c5141a91ef6491db7d2b6)
图1.25 桥水全天候基金的走势图
数据来源:Bridgewater,星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0004.jpg?sign=1738946575-nenyWUml3FZpmi52iySmfOubEtimcxKZ-0-cdc207ff9f79d9a747335657d0e84f4c)
图3.13 耶鲁基金模式资产配置
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0003-0005.jpg?sign=1738946575-GvK1DAz12Pz67HCEJeyuJO5uInPObRLk-0-efc6c900880c55919a37ac46439c0a03)
图3.16 耶鲁基金表现情况
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0006.jpg?sign=1738946575-BwFkS477hM9CgwnEVrLJ0Ui2POBpUgy9-0-bfdb3ec5dc7e196f2870d1afc1cae339)
图3.22 从1926年7月到2013年8月美股四大板块的收益率走势对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0007.jpg?sign=1738946575-pcCh4s2ISfNA72x7mYa5aJtJQdlc8OIK-0-0f5cc6f5553bb009b7bff89ea94be362)
图3.26 先锋平衡指数基金历史表现
资料来源:先锋公司官网
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0004-0008.jpg?sign=1738946575-8XdyjcjpvOIyuZwYPe1jYuCkxAxsOaCr-0-67f052e9a33fcef687e06d6b57bd0572)
图3.30 多资产ETF跟踪指数走势历史表现对比
资料来源:彭博
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0009.jpg?sign=1738946575-gwaYj0W8EiLRIaL1klWA7Z6yNw7I0A5x-0-6b9482f7c329ef6c0fcb322742d2113d)
图4.3 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(年度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0010.jpg?sign=1738946575-EBQzWsl5cdzL7PSzssnKkfluuZP7n5uQ-0-e353f16c1312d0fbb97fa880ac29df61)
图4.4 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(季度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0005-0011.jpg?sign=1738946575-aTFshqlAGhpaWqrc5ugqxLEmXt9TZ9qR-0-ddffa0595f3ad06352078f7fc8c4197a)
图4.5 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(月度调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0012.jpg?sign=1738946575-VEcH8Ql8C2nffD5bmsLtaplGXpiwhLxW-0-dbbccba1118bb16984ab4a867c86bde1)
图4.6 上证50指数在不同权重优化视角下的组合累计收益率表现(两周调仓)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0013.jpg?sign=1738946575-pGTZXqgEziiXUjHSNCV0fV2dDk3xzhNy-0-27bec501452ac208c63677b73f341500)
图4.7 基于价值因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0006-0014.jpg?sign=1738946575-Q91o98UDJ7Yv3BrsTsAZ71AcgOIjJBnQ-0-cb25c58cba87af7fc63a423a471ea272)
图4.8 基于成长因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0015.jpg?sign=1738946575-Ys5MvZlOZOAr3uqFRHbASu0gOUruAaqo-0-477c6f41312cd9e82c7e8aaba42391c4)
图4.9 基于质量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0016.jpg?sign=1738946575-f5lnE8XSlAGx2y0MIH0M1d0GlsR6mSwA-0-e4016b48525504f46b34fbdf80d5e793)
图4.10 基于股息因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0007-0017.jpg?sign=1738946575-lax7kTJ426H9XP79lCZskBllCrYQ4QeT-0-5a4718d4524206391025957c7c105ba3)
图4.11 基于规模因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0018.jpg?sign=1738946575-VGGSrYg9pCKC52leH0cY32zmsibx5OVI-0-1f16f10ec783e01b0ef0994f3ec369d1)
图4.12 基于动量因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0019.jpg?sign=1738946575-1bXoMzZL9anihzAYG6orY7XdFuz6mWiY-0-59601653b87583c4270fac663335e58b)
图4.13 基于反转因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0008-0020.jpg?sign=1738946575-aiJaO2Tkr9MB5eCWs3c2gjONZ8tAoY9A-0-f36dc259fde247e348c4335da20e54fe)
图4.14 基于分析师预期因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0021.jpg?sign=1738946575-Z4ZNksxkMb7PUggmZTSz7ZIw0xqysKGQ-0-0f2f4f59b057e85e06d4d367a75d5304)
图4.15 基于情绪因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0022.jpg?sign=1738946575-y804zzWScujM4NCc6NjKYpjWY1wpHUoX-0-418401f48760de1b6bfe58b6c5373327)
图4.16 基于人气指标因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0009-0023.jpg?sign=1738946575-51wYWBGfcTLc3X8VPunpdAYsTELeBfQB-0-4a3a99ff8a3ee1ead793bd6f7bd59435)
图4.17 基于波动因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0024.jpg?sign=1738946575-7ZfNKJGwkNfAc1lzKqrjH5NpRtu5ELFM-0-f2736df1de539e7338138aa2d9c56f01)
图4.19 基于多因子的Smart Beta中证800指数净值回测
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0010-0025.jpg?sign=1738946575-hSGXRdbFYKhBPokJb9RyhxImsJfOIndt-0-4fa86ccfdcbe5de665c781b72e02d17c)
图4.20 回测净值曲线图(含货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0026.jpg?sign=1738946575-5li8kKt5zWiBLhX1uJeQ3eMK4bwysKay-0-b53e430635337ab8dd49a6ea3ff53715)
图4.21 回测净值曲线图(剔除货币型基金指数)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0027.jpg?sign=1738946575-3XzCasxo1OVjr4MGFCKIMO9N1Ce919QU-0-237b068d4891bc4b2fff0d93dd6045cc)
图5.6 火鸡策略曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0011-0028.jpg?sign=1738946575-nOxyZuz2IvBqZFZfeHiIHRhuypwoQnjE-0-38bf04f434e5872838c43383e71f3747)
图5.20 市场情绪指标择时策略
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0029.jpg?sign=1738946575-zn2gAmSvnkA8HU3xmT3DK0ERYhoO2cOU-0-80283c7c0c05c056022a7671da875525)
图5.30 各资产净值走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0030.jpg?sign=1738946575-UW114jL3UwgS94pe6qT5TLeIGT8FNbR9-0-b27eff38c964f21cc7aea7b78c8c7403)
图6.1 大类资产时间序列动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0012-0031.jpg?sign=1738946575-TfYS4IRNGhRvjNClw2zJDfxttmH7cw82-0-2a1323d75823519e7c78e121f6486481)
图6.3 大类资产横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0032.jpg?sign=1738946575-WDeJ1PdfOTzoqFXoBzBbYXFIYHEugeNS-0-d6ede0906dced6e509ab26b87ebe4a63)
图6.4 改进的横截面动量策略回测表现
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0033.jpg?sign=1738946575-e7FMd1ZEfkThRaxiLcrqVyEf6hab4mDk-0-de66e18a2d3758d37f2eb62ba3dd6ae2)
图6.5 时间序列动量与横截面动量的叠加
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0013-0034.jpg?sign=1738946575-v38GTd6tXJg0bxHwmBCEOQ3YaBrdc3Wz-0-e33dec8a8a9b4f738f7ba6715bd9d526)
图6.15 奇异谱模型回测结果
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0035.jpg?sign=1738946575-UtnqqNh1pAgYlTjLf3G8BWUYjrVK4j1K-0-45e076742f486c80750064256a603a53)
图6.16 申万一级行业指数单季度涨跌幅统计(%)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0036.jpg?sign=1738946575-ac8GH49wVTkNy9yjBYZmCzpT3VCpnvFy-0-032e2cadbb5ae01d5898d5ee541a94ad)
图6.21 多期风格雷达——大摩多因子策略(数据日期:2015年4月)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0014-0037.jpg?sign=1738946575-KhFMv6bSUsboHhwXFbPjuJQXhyBYOM6a-0-952e44c5a425e22ea8a3e51ddc6f0108)
图6.22 基于风格雷达的FOF表现(数据 日 期:2014/12—2016/1)
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0038.jpg?sign=1738946575-7rRWrDgOam0HkE0k9VcZadGFH2K61rth-0-1630fca140ef3971ac462b54cdf66fe2)
图6.24 某只基金的半年、季、月频风格画像
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0039.jpg?sign=1738946575-O6HEf6YuniC2OgE33dbB9p6IR7TR7WOz-0-8b4e8727f9763a2c3f4a63dcb3167670)
图6.28 策略净值曲线
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0015-0040.jpg?sign=1738946575-lkzjUrk40nF9cAv5IeSo8O3jrhJciTGm-0-500f79cbd6c65c3310e1375d95e41989)
图6.30 策略被选基金统计
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0041.jpg?sign=1738946575-916pFzQaZju5tu7ubFwvPgW5jIBTKAGq-0-22b5058e5870f039b44bbe9fb762c6a1)
图6.38 沪深300指数(大盘指数)、中证500指数(中小盘指数)和中证1000指数(小盘指数)走势图对比
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0042.jpg?sign=1738946575-eGacEwCnz4vLMdVWbE63H5s3d4lFG656-0-b53cd81ea9ea04af0cc79a569dd30917)
图6.40 标准二分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0016-0043.jpg?sign=1738946575-3Cj96SkVCGStgnuIs9trr2SIZVRgHbo8-0-5d721c814750ac88ddc2fdc747999fa5)
图6.41 有序多分类Logistic模型轮动策略收益率
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0044.jpg?sign=1738946575-nyHvzgwo9CLBkBch9kt4OoLxkakVkH7A-0-27e75816a00b5eee789bbe7331111f69)
图7.4 国外目标日期策略指数的配置变化
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0045.jpg?sign=1738946575-kWFT5NiwGC0cDdi6oiD93tgMAdlFdXpn-0-64c1a36e3f64b94636f2b36aa9840828)
图7.9 中证平安2025退休宝指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0017-0046.jpg?sign=1738946575-fZomSHGoUKri8dpIzwmVDXsAVp4QE0Ze-0-51e272a949cc0cc8c33ef4a62eb9efe1)
图7.13 标普500每日风险控制系列指数走势图
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0047.jpg?sign=1738946575-VPvi85wr4HQdnk299XoyAyw927JFjxSk-0-2089c1d95b8378ce1695009d80514183)
图7.14 标普目标风险系列指数走势
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0048.jpg?sign=1738946575-iDpKyewaestZOiD3nT8sBFJx4gSndbFT-0-fd4c83a1244d552ca63110a292637439)
图8.11 对冲基金FOF的模拟业绩
数据来源:Risk Parity Portfolios with Risk Factors
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0018-0049.jpg?sign=1738946575-Yb3khZixIz9M3s4I647lMYB4af7LVSKO-0-3ebae6023222932b7e476054b7837b3f)
图9.7 2000—2015年总体基金的资产配置变化图
数据来源:星潮FOF整理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0050.jpg?sign=1738946575-NuHsk7iw1sYbZpBUdVPKNzT6lwiTxkHd-0-e3720a819746436d51749249b58312d4)
图11.1 多因子模型的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0051.jpg?sign=1738946575-Y95qKhnIjLtDUG48yk0VKjAEIUgDd8SZ-0-899a7c60e8b92b6daec1928b8973789b)
图11.2 大/小盘风格轮动策略收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0019-0052.jpg?sign=1738946575-mCY92eUAyvoVTQx1TZ0g4cK7K9o8S7IL-0-7b3eb34af298f63ab04d56516db5abe5)
图11.3 顺周期行业轮动策略的收益率图示
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0053.jpg?sign=1738946575-33jQ4KGob11sA1vANhaK2XzGd5inRpcm-0-fb5bafe3b2012e0384f9a0b55f057f62)
图11.7 2006年一致预期EPS相对于2005年实际EPS的增速
数据来源:[谢江 2008]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0054.jpg?sign=1738946575-mgT7i2Hnlh6qYk7tifruaPhWg2zfUnu1-0-8c94b8296a21c115c77aa6fff81bbb9d)
图11.8 不同一致预期指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[卜永强 2012]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0020-0055.jpg?sign=1738946575-iDM9zXn0SepwMwOcAFurML1IZj0Jy5jq-0-af5e20a409c45911befef8431abba3f2)
图11.9 筹码选股模型中单个指标在不同年份的收益率情况
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0056.jpg?sign=1738946575-BCU2OkMdamOLn3wwSNsxYmgPij7TRKEv-0-b2a6493bb5afae0e8d7dae9c7e48a51a)
图11.10 筹码选股模型中单个指标的收益率曲线
数据来源:[周冠伟 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0057.jpg?sign=1738946575-uW5ymIN5WvHQAVnbC9pu7II862JfYmi6-0-46a7c632d3268a78e6df6e5eb77c1f1c)
图11.15 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图2004.1.2—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0058.jpg?sign=1738946575-Ty0zDioJNcXZ68ooz7XwCjqDL1TBK4LM-0-943c862c767a7f964bb32dc4a11b9986)
图11.16 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2004.1.2—2005.12.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0021-0059.jpg?sign=1738946575-27RGS3zPZHt1wfjqr0gkFcDAWLXxJape-0-68a4f9c5d70f980faf86c16e64b4f5d7)
图11.17 追踪组合与指数的累计收益率图(2006.1.4—2007.3.30)
数据来源:[金志宏 2016]
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0060.jpg?sign=1738946575-M8MM3TDQQdyBc7Tc6xdmSXxrIexfIMjI-0-830922116124a1be759469e15a508d92)
图11.31 正向基差套利原理
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0061.jpg?sign=1738946575-1VzrSaPnAQRZYscGeSKWQXPpk0dTh7Q6-0-73ff62799c3851ef8f6a45c8bd72d6aa)
图16.1 Bridgewater的绝对阿尔法累计收益率对比
数据来源:MPI Case Study
![](https://epubservercos.yuewen.com/9C34C8/13916126205942306/epubprivate/OEBPS/Images/36002-0022-0062.jpg?sign=1738946575-2Wep9aNCIn9hKaAODxilJJOnPkpgZFrM-0-8d20b0da9a87bef014ae411765596e49)
图16.9 长期资本管理基金净值走势